Hmm #19 Silver: 👉 to drop below 60 from 87.50, hence a minimum 31% drop!
Interesting call. A move below 60 would imply more than a leverage or positioning flush — it would likely require a broader macro regime shift, with real rates staying elevated, the dollar strengthening materially, and industrial demand weakening at the same time.
I’m curious which of those you see as the primary driver in 2026, and what price behavior or macro signals you’d watch to distinguish a deep digestion from a full trend break.
Hmm #19 Silver: 👉 to drop below 60 from 87.50, hence a minimum 31% drop!
Interesting call. A move below 60 would imply more than a leverage or positioning flush — it would likely require a broader macro regime shift, with real rates staying elevated, the dollar strengthening materially, and industrial demand weakening at the same time.
I’m curious which of those you see as the primary driver in 2026, and what price behavior or macro signals you’d watch to distinguish a deep digestion from a full trend break.
Glad you found it interesting Mandar!
Great take, a lot of variables there for sure! 2 points/hints:
1) short squeezes very rarely maintain their higher new level. Same for momentum.
2) a drop below 60 would just be December's 2025 price after doubling in 2025 alone = it's not that of a bearish call on the overall macro.
Maybe I do a deeper dive into Silver one day ;)
Cheers!
Great stuff. I'm 80% invested 20% cash. Just in vase
Glad to hear! Smart 80/20, I am very similar ;)
Consistent accuracy in predictions is a representation of one's capability
Well said Colin! Cheers!
Well done Maverick! 👏
Thank you Armando, let's have a great 2026!
Thank you - opens my mind.
Welcome Chris! Glad to hear, as the year progresses there will be A-Ha moments with these in our mind. Cheers!